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there is no event for manaphy you have to get it from Pokemon ranger
actually, ANY ball can miss, save the master ball. ive missed with ultra balls against zapdos; i missed maybe 7 times, but as soon as i hit it i caught it. but can you imagine yourself as a Pokemon trainer and you missed a Pokemon? man i would feel dumb lol
Action replay,make Zoruark have an egg(which I did),or get special event Celebi(which I missed out on). You don't catch it in the wild... :(
No. If you haven't saved since then restart and try again, otherwise you missed your shot.
Pokemon will not learn moves while being raised in the daycare center. They will keep the same set of moves that you put them into the daycare with. However, moves that were missed can still be relearned through the move tutor.