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Obviously, we can never get the exact odds of a pitcher pitching a perfect game. However, we can use scenarios to determine the odds of pitching a perfect game for that situation. For example, the game is taking place at 7:00 P.M at the pitcher's home stadium. The pitcher's odds of letting a man on base or committing an error each at-bat during a 27 out period is .300. The pitcher's team is guaranteed to score a run. (This is never the case, but were assuming.) The weather is perfect. The pitcher's odds of pitching a perfect game would be, according to my calculations, 0.0065712362363534280139543%.

Obviously, this is only one situation. Many perfect games are much more likely to be pitched by better pitchers. I did the best I could just to give you a good idea of the odds of pitchers pitching perfect games. Now you try doing the math to see why they are so rare.

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Q: What are the odds of pitching a perfect game?
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