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It's hard to say. Probably underestimating Holmes and believing that his trick with the Poker would scare him off. Miss Stonor's wedding was far enough off that Dr. Roylott could have postponed his efforts until Holmes would lose interest. Holmes would not have stayed at the local pub indefinitely. Holmes might have foiled his plans in the short term but he was ingenious enough to figure out something in the long term.

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Q: What was doctor roylott's biggest mistake as a murderer?
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