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That is completely random. You may be lucky and get it in the first try, or you may have to kill many, many monsters.

It depends on what items you consider to be rare. For example, the drop rate for abyssal whips is about 1/512. This doesn't mean you have to kill 512 abyssal demons to finally get a whip; you may have to kill more or less. A ring of wealth slightly increases the drop rate, but this can be very significant with rarer drops, like draconic visages from certain types of dragons.

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Q: How many kills to get a rare item in runescape?
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