They were both the children of prophecy.
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well because he knows its not nagato and naruto keeps improving not only that but naruto is the fourth hokage's son and the 4th was the strongest shinobi ever (and naruto masterd rasengun and only Jiraya and the 4th had mastered that jutso)
When Jiraiya was going through Senjutsu training on Mount Myōbokuzan, the Great Toad Sage foretold that Jiraiya will train a student who will either bring peace to the world or be responsible for its destruction. Jiraiya believed the child to be Nagato since he the Rinnegan. However, before he died at the hands of Pain, Jiraiya realized that Naruto was the Child of Prophecy and that he will one day save the world.
technically yes ,because madara uchiha said that nagato is from the uzumaki clan just like the mother of naruto so it is plausible
At first it was thought that he had black hair, but when a coloured picture came out, it showed that Nagato had red hair. :)
Pain's real name is nagato